| Disclaimer: I am aware past performance does not guarantee future result, but decided to post this anyway because i find it interesting. The most violent, terrifying price drops usually happen in the first 3 to 6 months immediately following the cycle peak (Example, the 2011 bear market) Fast forward recently, Monday 6 October 2025 is when the drop from all time high began. 3 months after October of 2025 is January 31, 2026 6 months after October of 2025 is May 1, 2026 We are currently in June 2026. Hence, IF the cycle stays true to its name the worst has passed. 1 Week timeframe It's worth noting this time, the bottom COULD have ended on June 5 2026 1 Day timeframe Also Theoretically, the upcoming months after the bottom are usually boredom and exhaustion. But also the perfect accumulation zone. Make sure to share your thoughts. Edit; Thank you for the feedback. After being suggested to check history once again, it seems bottoms can still occur anywhere from 3 to 12 months. Examples for 2021 bottom happened 1 whole year later. So the theory of a true bottom until October 2026 is valid, but it's risky to try and time the market. [link] [comments] |
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