Bitcoin falls into the capitulation zone for only the sixth time in its entire history

Bitcoin's Capitulation Zone

According to the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) ratio, Bitcoin is cushy in the capitulation zone, which it entered for the second time this year alone. Not only is this Bitcoin’s second capitulation this year, but only the sixth in its entire 12-year history.

NUPL Chart

While this low traditionally indicates a bullish bias and a sign of trend reversal, that is no longer a certainty given Bitcoin’s growing correlation with the broader markets. The correlation shared between BTC’s price has risen to 0.59 with the S&P 500 index and 0.62 with the NASDAQ. Further, at its current price (~$19,200) Bitcoin is still under the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as well as the 100-day SMA which points to a lack of bullish cues.

Could Long-Term holders nevertheless benefit?

According to the Reverse Risk, Long-Term holders (LTHs) are currently sitting just below the ideal zone of accumulation, which has been the indicator’s home for almost the entire year.

Reserve Risk Chart for LTH

During periods of high confidence and low price, BTC presents an attractive risk/reward to invest, which LTH can benefit from, provided there is a potential for recovery. This could take time but since the average time LTHs hold a Bitcoin is at three years, they might just end up accumulating.

Source: https://editorial.fxstreet.com/miscelaneous/glassnode-studio_bitcoin-net-unrealized-profit-loss-nupl-638013940895332210.png