I have reason ti believe 4 year cycle is dead .
But not in the bullish manner .
I mean people throughout 2025 and even 2026 expected bulls to break the model . But no one hardly fathom that bear markets can also breaks the assumptioms...
Now lets understand the assumption.
3 years up 1 year down . (4year cycle)
People expectation
More years up , less years down .
My reasoning
More years down more years up .
My reasons for this reasoning .
Just look at the world arround you .
Tech sector is strained of innovation AI trade has started to unwin .
Financial sector is strained . Sticky inflation , high rates , carry trade unwind .
Inter state politics is strained . Wars , alliance breakage, tarrifs and regime changes.
Business sector is strained . Higher energy cost , higher raw material and metal costs and higher compute cost.
Demographics is strained. Declining population , civil unrest , low employment .
Where is the bullish catalyst ? Some bill (clarity act) . I mean a bill could it really rule out the state of world ? .....
Debate me please !!!
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