It can be both positive and negative changes, to keep it grounded and educational.
For me, my first cycle from 2021-2022 had been a disaster. I was new, so I made all the usual mistakes. Affected me emotionally, and while I've sold small amounts (and, well, reinvested them), I didn't sell everything by the peak. I went from being 200% in profit to being 60% in loss.
However, this cycle has been good. Even if I were to chicken out and sell everything right now, I'd still be 200% in profit, and my crypto bag is way bigger than in 2021-2022 because I continued to buy and hold, and I'd taken some profits over the course of 2021-2022. My capital and profit at this stage is equal to 5 years' worth of my peak income, and if I work with this, I can easily work out a passive income about 30%-40% of my peak income while I'm out of position and about 25%-30% if I reinvest in the following cycle.
Ideally, I'm hoping for a 300% profit (7.5 years worth of income), in which case I could work out a passive income that's 50% my yearly peak income. I won't be greedy as to hope for more, but I'll take whatever I can manage.
I've done the calculations and if I were to keep this up without making a series of catastrophic mistakes, I can achieve millionaire status (in SGD) by the end of the next cycle from 2026-2029. With some careful financial management, I can work out a passive income that's 150% of my peak active income, and I'll retire partially. Since I'm a freelancer, I can tweak my workload finely. Ideally, I'd reduce my workload by half so my active income would be 50%-60% of peak. However, if I've become greedy as Mister Krab by then, I'd still be working close to peak active income.
I'm not going to go much into the cycles after that, but basically, I can retire by the 2030-2033 cycle as I'd be a multi-millionaire by then and my passive income could easily be 500% of my peak active income.
Much of this is projection of course. If anything drastic enough goes wrong, it'd lower my forecast enough to matter.
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