How I Time the Market in the Dumbest Yet Simplest Way Possible

I’ve been using an absurdly simple dumb method to time the market. So far, it’s worked shockingly well. No complex indicators, no deep analysis.

Just pure, unfiltered idiotic, dumbness.

Here’s how it works:

1. Portfolio Tracking: I log all my holdings in a portfolio tracker.

2. Time-Warped Buys: Whenever I purchase a crypto, I retroactively mark my buy as if I had entered on the very first day of its existence. Example: If I buy today, but the token launched on Jan 1, 2020, I log it as if I bought it on launch day. Why? To create a historical "ups and downs" chart that isn't biased by my real entry.

3. The Half-Mountain Rule: I examine the chart and ask myself one question: Has a half-mountain formed relative to past peaks?

• Yes? I sell everything. Proof: Example 1, Example 2.
  
• No? I keep accumulating. Proof: Currently buying.
  

4 . Bottom Fishing: Once a solid bottom forms, I go all in again.

That’s it. No trendlines, no RSI, no Fibonacci which makes me cringe as hell. Just mountains and valleys.

This approach has kept me from FOMO-buying tops while letting me accumulate when assets are genuinely undervalued. Obviously, this isn’t financial advice, and I fully expect it to blow up in my face at some point but for now, it’s working. Don’t believe me? Check my post history.

At this moment, I’m aggressively buying and waiting for the next half-mountain to form, ideally mirroring prior peaks.

Important Notes:

• I track 10+ cryptos simultaneously this method is useless if applied to just one.
  
• This does not work for BTC. Bitcoin doesn’t form mountains; it just keeps climbing.
  
• Again, this does not apply to BTC.