How sure are we that there will be another bear market as pronounced as those seen in 2018, 2022 etc? With ETFs could this change the pattern?

Now that crypto has institutional investment and ETFs, I think it is likely that bear markets and bull runs are going to be less pronounced than they were in the past. Perhaps even the four year cycle that we've come to expect will fall apart soon.

The thing is all of us are waiting for 2026 or so for the next bear market, and we all are going to buy in then. However, how disappointed would we be if (lets assume this round BTC peaks at 140K) BTC actually bottomed out at 90K or something, and then in the next run it just made it to 180K in 2028. Or, for example, lets say that ETH peaks at 6K, then bottoms out at 4K, and makes it to 8K in 2028. Those scenarios would likely be disappointing to many on here, but I see this type of thing is pretty realistic.

At a certain point, is it not true that this whole thing will not be happening? After all, if cryptocurrency indeed does become a major currency, its value will be pretty stable. None of this stuff will matter anymore. How far is that though?

How powerful is the halving in reality?

Discuss.