Now that we are getting closer (6 months~) to the next Halving event on BTC, I did a few simulations using history data if we purchased at this exact moment but in the past halving events, here is the data.
PS: Past Performance Is No Guarantee of Future Results
PS2: The percent values is actually GAINS, not total price value. (Example 100 -> 150, would look like 50% not 150%)
TLDR: HOLD, preferably for 1 year after the halving
Here is the link for all the prices history and more scenarios in a Google Sheet and a csv file to you can copy and edit to your own settings:https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1V_nsfIszfdtbVWMD-uKXEguT_vujytrK?usp=drive_link
| Buying 180 days BEFORE | → Holding 30 days | → Holding 90 days | → Holding 180 days | → Holding 1 year | → Holding 2 years | → Holding 3 years | → Holding today |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Halving | -0.07% | 4.63% | 762.54% | 2459.70% | 3829.14% | 30326.85% | 259574.19% |
| Second Halving | 31.31% | 37.79% | 101.70% | 462.64% | 1507.43% | 2897.97% | 6574.07% |
| Third Halving | 6.44% | 30.29% | 79.28% | 547.48% | 183.46% | 164.50% | 174.21% |
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