I'm tired of reading "experts" and "special analysts" predicting the market. You can't predict the market. You can get lucky or get burned.

The market cannot be predicted. If it could, everyone would be full of money now and drink cocktails in some tropical place, or the market would not even exist.

But OP, you are noob, what about TA?

Noup, sorry, I believe it can be helpfull from time to time, but it can't predict the market.

Everyday political variations, wars and agreements are something that cannot be predicted but it can affect the crypto market.

Was anyone able to predict that China would ban Bitcoin for the hundredth time?

Could anyone have predicted a war in Europe?

Does anyone know what laws the Biden administration is preparing?

I honestly don't think so.

People listening to "crypto analysts" are doing it wrong. They can be lucky and it may turn out as those experts say, but most of the time its just pure assumption.