Is possible we see another massive sell off before the bull run seen typically after a halving?

Will we see another ~40% sell off on a daily before the next bull run to flush out weak hands?

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On the 12th of March 2020 we saw one of the biggest single day sell offs in recent times after the ~20k bull run in 2017' with the halving coming up in almost a year will we see a repeat before the next bull run usually seen after a halving happens?

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If this does happens we could see a spike lower than the recent lows of ~14.5k and potentially see

a low of 12k-10k to kick off the bull run. There's a lot of support volume at 10k