What is the KZG Ceremony? -> https://ceremony.ethereum.org/
I joined the queue around 8 days also with three submissions I wanted to make. Little did I know, that my Laptop would need to stay on and online for the next week at minimum.
A week ago, the lobby size was around 5000 (meaning 5000 people were waiting to be randomly selected every 3 minutes). This corresponds to a chance of 1.3% per hour.
My first contribution was via the Website and surprisingly it was randomly selected after a day of waiting. The lobby size was also around 5k back then.
Yesterday, I got lucky and my second submission was also randomly selected and accepted:
2023-03-02 00:03:19 Still isn't our turn, waiting 30s for retrying... Waiting for our turn to contribute... 2023-03-02 00:03:49 Still isn't our turn, waiting 30s for retrying... Waiting for our turn to contribute... It's our turn! Contributing... Contribution ready, took 4.85s Sending contribution... Success!
Hurray!!
I still have my third contribution waiting. But now the lobby consists of 19000 participants! This corresponds to a per hour selection probability of around 0.34% per hour! That means, that with 50% probability, you will be picked within 8.5days! (Assuming, the number of lobby participants stay the same... which likely will not. 50% = (1 - 0.34%)8.5 \ 24) ). Let's not forget, that the KZG Ceremony only lasts for another 10 days from today.
What do you say? What kinds of successes / waiting times did you have or do you still have?
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