Pre-Halving vs. Recession

A recession seems likely in the US. If there is major economic pullback and potentially job loss, what will happen to BTC in the short term? The halving occurs next year, and yes, that is historically positive for BTC. But what happens if the halving battles a major recession? Long term, all in on Bitcoin, but short term, I am a bit nervous we will see a big drop. I DCA, but I see so many people promoting the halving as a guarantee and going all in now. I can’t help but think too much is being based off historical halving during an absurdly profitable decade while not considering a halving during a real downturn. Am I crazy?