Sober take: the bull market could come earlier than expected, or behave in a very unpredictable way

Those of us who've been holding since the last bull run remember all the "experts" calling for a February - March 2022 peak, when in reality it suddenly occurred in November 2021. Tons of people who don't take profits on the way up were left holding.

Right now we're seeing either the fucking craziest fool's rally in the history of crypto, or we're seeing the start of the bull run way early. An important thing to keep in mind is that market optimism is a finite resource that gets exhausted with each cycle. Bitcoin is all over the news right now, driving up speculation and price. But it won't last forever. People get exhausted of the news cycle, and interest will eventually wane.

This says nothing about crypto's long-term value, which I'm super optimistic about, but I'm just recommending that you consider the possibility that 2025 is too late for this bull run. It's possible that the bull could pop earlier than I did on my wedding night and leave everyone involved extraordinarily disappointed - I'm talking April 2024ish.