OK I need to get my Source: Trust Me Bro disclaimer out of the way up front; I haven't seriously crunched any numbers, I'm surmising based on lowball-probability. Maybe the crypto-haters are correct in that for this possible version of the universe it "all goes to zero" in 10 years' time; that might happen too, it's just incredibly unlikely.
The sub has 5,399,100 members total with 5,711 currently online as I write this. Let's say (admittedly generously) that 10% of those online read this, so about 500 rounded down. I'll assume that some of you good folk that are like me and bought too many shitcoins last November and that even with your pivot to quality and steady DCA you might see some good gains but not life-changing money. Others are about to be freakishly lucky on the next cycle's ElonFlokiCumInu. Still more will diligently stake and "compound interest" their way forward. Yet another cohort are previous-cycle OGs who are adding to existing large stacks. To me, your approach is immaterial, it's the result that fascinates me.
I'll cut through the noise and be arbitrary and brutal: Say only 0.01% of those 500 get to be millionaires. That's still 5 people reading this. Any yes, granted, crypto isn't a Wonka golden ticket of random reward, it's a considered investment strategy (ElonFlokiCumInu randos aside). This still blows my mind that it's a highly probable event, not just hopium.
Maybe we do enter a sustained "never see ATH again" bear and this ages badly; again, one probable outcome of the crypto universe. Personally I don't think so and I plan to be on the sub for the next 10 years and revisit this post in 2032 (as a kind of cringey time capsule). Best of luck everyone, no matter what your strategy.
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