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The Coin Bureau trading "Guyde" with 40-day results

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by COINS NEWS 228 Views

Hello,

On August 18th, after seeing Coin Bureau's video on Audius (AUDIO), and seeing previous video crypto suggestions paying out, I have decided to implement the Coin Bureau trading Guyde (pun intended).

Rules:

  • every time CoinBureau releases a video on a coin (usually once a week), sell previous coin and buy the newly-mentioned coin
  • based on preference, sell a major part of your position (if you want to sell only 80% and keep holding the previous coin, feel free to do so)
  • sell as soon as possible after the video release (I generally sold even before watching to not get personal feelings get in the way, I am not the sharpest tool in the shed after all)

So if you got through the foolishness I've just written, you probably want to see results. I have used this technique and got some interesting results (spoiler: it's some pretty good money)

I have invested $331 in Audius (AUDIO), which corresponded to 100 coins at $3.31 each, as the start of the strategy. With the following coin video release, I sold 100% of my holdings and bought the next one. After that, repeat, repeat, repeat.

Results:

Buying the assets

BUY DATE ASSET BUY COIN/USD VOLUME TOTAL PRICE
2021-08-19 Audius (AUDIO) 3.31 100 331
2021-08-28 Arweave (AR) 36.1 6.95291 251
2021-09-04 Avalanche (AVAX) 46.31 8.47531 392.5
2021-09-14 Terra (LUNA) 36.72 12.88377 473.1
2021-09-16 Cosmos (ATOM) 36.44 13.26561 483.4
2021-09-25 Algorand (ALGO) 1.75 302.00114 528.5

Selling the assets

SELL DATE ASSET SELL COIN/USD VOLUME TOTAL PRICE
2021-08-28 Audius (AUDIO) 2.51 100 251
2021-09-04 Arweave (AR) 56.45 6.95291 392.5
2021-09-14 Avalance (AVAX) 55.82 8.47531 473.1
2021-09-16 Terra (LUNA) 37.52 12.88377 483.4
2021-09-25 Cosmos (ATOM) 39.84 13.26561 528.5
today (not sold) Algorand (ALGO) 1.82 302.00114 549.6

Profit/losses

ASSET RELATIVE PROFIT/LOSS TOTAL PROFIT/LOSS
Audius (AUDIO) -24.17% -24.17%
Arweave (AR) 56.37% 18.58%
Avalanche (AVAX) 20.54% 42.93%
Terra (LUNA) 2.18% 46.04%
Cosmos (ATOM) 9.33% 59.67%
Algorand (ALGO) 4.00% 66.06%

Note: Italics mark my currently-owned asset with price taken as of creating this table in Google Sheets (as of writing this, ALGO already dipped a bit).

I have also, for my own interest, checked the data of how this compares to if I just held BTC, ETH, or ADA

SELL DATE ETH - starting price: $2976 BTC - starting price: $44550 ADA - starting price: $2.12
2021-08-28 3249, 9.17% 49018, 10.03% 2.88, 35.85%
2021-09-04 3912, 31.45% 50243, 12.78% 2.88, 35.85%
2021-09-14 3312, 11.29% 46748, 4.93% 2.43, 14.62%
2021-09-16 3558, 19.56% 47500, 6.62% 2.42, 14.15%
2021-09-25 2915, -2.05% 42705, -4.14% 2.37, 11.79%
today 3130, 5.17% 44050, -1.12% 2.25, 6.13%

Note: all % in this table are Total profit/loss percentages

Conclusion:

On the one hand, this trading strategy seems to be working remarkably so far, generating 66% gain over 40 days, even through a recent crypto downturn.

On the other hand, it can be seen that it is by far not perfect, the very first investment (Audius) turned out to be a loss, and not insignificant one. The following asset saved the day though, which was probably mainly influenced by ETH bull-run towards 4k. At this point, holding either ADA or ETH would be a better investment.

We all know what happened next, series of Evergrande and other China FUD caused a market downturn, though it did not seem to affect the CoinBureau-mentioned coins as much as it did for the top3 coins.

I am not sure how Guy himself influences these prices, it is quite possible that this is the prime shill game.

As a conclusion, I present this as a viable trading strategy based on very short-termed data.

tl;dr Trading based on CoinBureau videos for interesting coins outperformed holding major coins greatly. Obligatory This is not financial advice.

Last note: Go subscribe to Coin Bureau on Youtube (and hit that notification bell ;) )

submitted by /u/marekt14
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