Thoughts on the Rate Cut this Wednesday?

So as the Fed is meeting tomorrow Tuesday and then releasing their decision this Wednesday the following day, I think we can safely assume a rate cate has been confirmed with 90-99% confidence

Anyway my curiosity is what we’re all thinking the rate cut will be? I personally suspect is could be 0.50 rate cute despite reading a lot of stuff that indicates people who are more appropriately in the know that me see a near certainty that it will 0.25 as 0.50 would rock the boat too much.

I personally think we’re on path towards a recession and a 0.50 fed rate cut has (according to what I read) almost always followed with a recession, so this is why I’m suspecting this. That being said apparently a bigger rate cut 0.50 as opposed to 0.25 would cause a fair bit of havoc and selling off whereas as a smaller rate cut would be more stable - I don’t know how true this is so would love input

If I’m being honest though I don’t really see another sell of and think this Wednesday is about to kick off the next part of this cycle and leave this bottom in the dust

Edit: I actually want to engage and see what the community and people here think and give serious answers if they have any. Please stop with the ‘it will go up or down’ stuff when people are actually trying to participate in the community. I know a fair amount are just memeing but still