Looking at how previous U.S. elections lined up with crypto cycles, there’s definitely a trend worth watching.
The election itself doesn’t start a bull run, but it seems to give it an extra push. In 2016 and 2020, crypto was already on an upswing, and the election acted like a momentum boost.
This time around, with the 2024 election just a week ahead, and with the past April's halving, we’ve got even more factors potentially setting things up for a strong bull run. We now have spot ETFs on the largest crypto already, bringing in institutional interest and liquidity like never before. Plus, if Trump wins, there’s a chance for regulatory shake-ups. He’s known to be more pro-economics and crypto-friendly, which could mean changes at the SEC, possibly replacing folks like Gary Gensler, who’s been pretty tough on crypto.
Looking forward to 2025, any moves toward friendlier regulations could make the U.S. a safer, more appealing place for crypto companies, sparking more investment and innovation. Combine that with post-halving supply constraints, and there’s a strong setup for a potential bull run. So while elections don’t create bull markets, the timing and policies coming out of this one might just add some serious fuel to the fire.
Looking at the below chart, it does look like the history is to repeat again. We are aligned.
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