What is your expectaion for 2026?

Knowing the views of others can help us make our own investments and trades, that is the purpose of this post. What people believe has an impact on what happens.

Sorry about the rest of this post, I need 500 characters so I am giving my own dumb opinion on how predictions affect the prices.

For example if people are very bullish and new money keeps coming in the prices can go up much more than expected and usually faster than expected because people are trying to front run the market. We saw this in late 2020 and early 2021 because people thought there would be a repeat of 2017 so they quickly bought up.

However sometimes the price goes against the prediction. E.g. if people are expecting a rally and they have all bought in and new money isn't coming it. They wait for the rally and then start selling out of disappointment. This happened in late 2021 and late 2025.

This also works for bottoms. E.g. most people think the prices will go lower but they have already sold, so there are no more sellers left and the price goes up instead. I believe this happened in early 2023. There was heavy inflation and FTX had collapsed a few weeks earlier. Most people were bearish but prices went up.

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