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What makes this Moon Round different [Chart]

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What makes this Moon Round different [Chart]

Moons are crypto-currency tokens you can earn for contributing to this sub. You can also buy them, spend them, tip them, and I believe Reddit ecosystem is actively working on adding more new use cases.

I'm using machine learning to predict the upcoming Moons to Karma ratio. See my prior post [1] to read how it works. What intrigued me about this Moon Round (16) is that my new improved predictive model has been yielding very optimistic ratio estimates (closer to 0.300). The model operates on cumulative numbers of Daily comments and Daily score. So I decided to chart this data, and see what is up.

Chart

[c01] The scatter-plot shows each Daily since the Moons launch grouped and color-coded by Moon Rounds. We can clearly see the unusual behavior of Round 16 Dailies.

Discussion

Lately, many have observed the influx of new comments. We even got reminded about the sub rules. I believe that this sub during this Moon Round has collectively learned something very important. Specifically: quality > quantity. And I think, Moons are the reason for this understanding to happen.

Additional point to explore is, of course, Moons price increase. Pricier Moons or potential for even pricier Moons, and content quality starts to matter in this sub. A self-organizing system in action.

So let's do more smart Moon farming.

Bonus chart

[c02] The scatter-plot shows cumulative values for each Moon Round. You can also see the general estimated direction of where the current round is headed. The current Moon Round 16 definitely looks like an outlier. Or a new normal.

References

[1] My prior post about predictive model test https://www.reddit.com/r/CryptoCurrency/comments/oghi7f/a_machine_learning_model_which_predicts_moons_to/

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