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Why PolyMarket users are claiming they were scammed by the Prediction Market.

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Why PolyMarket users are claiming they were scammed by the Prediction Market.

If you've been paying attention to PolyMarket today you're probably aware of a ton of Drama currently going on.

Polymarket made a prediction markets about RFK Jr. "Will RFK JR. Endorse Trump during his speech Friday".

Well RFK. JR. didn't directly endorse Trump, instead he said "he supported Trump" but separately encouraged people to vote for him [RFK Jr].

Three great causes drove me to enter this race in the first place, primarily, and these are the principal causes that persuaded me to leave the Democratic Party and run as an independent, and now to throw my support to President Trump"

"My name will remain on the ballot in most states.. I encourage you to vote for me"

So he said "support" he didn't say endorse. Well the question is, is that an endorsement? Polymarket betters largely say no it shouldn't, and here's why.

  • Polymarket said Bernie saying he "supported Kamala" multiple times was not an endorsement. So there is historical precedent that this should result to [NO]
  • RFK Jr. said he was suspending his campaign but he would remain on the ballet in most states and he encouraged people to vote for him
  • RFK JRs campaign manager said after the speech that he wasn't endorsing Trump

https://preview.redd.it/02afk047fhkd1.png?1148&format=png&auto=webp&s=d9afd32262b617e526d0027892b4704c6a6de71c

https://apnews.com/live/updates-democratic-national-convention-harris-walz

Media Outlets by and large are running the story that RFK JR. endorsed Trump despite what he actually said and Polymarket agrees.

https://preview.redd.it/ubryqpqhihkd1.png?820&format=png&auto=webp&s=cbc203fcb4d0e7272581ccc972d118fad826f44a

As a result lots of betters now feel like they were scammed with an arbitrary decision separate from what "actually happened" during the speech.

https://preview.redd.it/8f9raruvehkd1.png?864&format=png&auto=webp&s=9786b63972ed324b836460d545673582fbeca906

Polymarket has a history of making vague prediction markets and arbitrary decisions and it's ran them into problems with their community before. But what do you think, is Polymaket right should that count as an endorsement or not?

submitted by /u/GabeSter
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