18.5eth Bounty for Client Diversity Risk Assessment

As someone who manages 3500 validators, I don't speak for every prysm user, but I have maintained that one the reasons we do not switch to a lesser used client is because we do not see the risk of us being slashed as large enough to be of concern. We understand that there are consequences from a consensus bug, but we do not see the risk of those consequences as being significant enough to switch. ie, there is a risk of me dying in a car accident tomorrow, but it's not great enough to listen to someone tell me not to drive my car tomorrow.

Earlier today, a person was telling me there is a 30% chance of prysm having a consensus bug at the time of merge. I scrutinized that clam and eventually asked them to provide the assessment to superphiz to claim his bounty and for others to scrutinize, but he said the bounty wasn't worth his time.

Therefore, we are offering a 18.5eth bounty to someone who can provide a risk probability assessment of prysm having a consensus bug at the time of the merge, causing all prysm validators to be slashed and exited.

This bounty is put up in the best interest of my clients, to help convince them to switch away from prysm to avoid getting slashed and exited, but hopefully this effort will convince a portion of the other ~190,000 prysm validators to switch clients. Either that, or it will at least shut me up.

I have not spoken with superphiz, but I am assuming his bounty will be paid out to you for this assessment on top of our own bounty.

Edit: The assessment must be emailed to me by 12pm EST March 9th. PM me for the address, as I'm not allowed to post it here. Conditions of the bounty is that it is due by March 9th, to be within the timeline superphiz stated was do or die for the client switch. The assessment must then go through three weeks of public scrutiny.