1- THE UNWIND The excitement &greed from the bull markets still exist, many narratives pop up for weeks at a time, assets still have floors. Valuations are cut, but companies don’t make the tough decisions (kill products, layoffs etc..) Things seem to be ok. Investors continue allocating, builders continue building, in feral life is still “good” and only the “weak hands, paper hands” sell.
2- FORCED CAPITULATIONS This stage is where the narratives die, prices fall 90% & then fall another 90%. There are layoffs across the board. Mainstream media &cynics rise up , they laugh & shout “???? ???????????????? ???????????? ????????” Diamond hands become ???????????????????????? ???????????????????????????? not because they want to but because they have to. The “bounce” will be immediately sold into. Companies that need high token prices will be crushed! Founders will buy their own tokens to sustain their business. Their projects will also get crushed. The lower the prices go the louder the “bears” get. Prices crash violently! Excitement is replaces by Anger!
3 - BOTTOMLESS EXHAUSTION After ???????????? ???????????????? comes ???????????? ????????ℎ????????????????????????????. There are NO bounces , NO narratives. Prices consolidate sideways or slowly move down, it’s boring as heck! Anger is then replaced with silence! You will literally want to walk away! Regulators will kick us while we are down! Web 2 investors will quietly stop allocating, talented builders will leave,companies will shut down. You will question every assumption you’ve had. This stage is the toughest to survive! SO IF THESE ARE THE 3 stages remember this, Things always get worse before they get better! So close your computer , zoom out, get outside , take a walk, swim, ride , ( whatever you can to relax) but PLEASE whatever you do please DO NOT GIVE UP! Don’t lose sight of the big picture. Markets always bounce back and it always gets better!
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