BTC Average Yearly/Anually Return

So I made some calculations and got to these conclusions.

For easier calculations I admitted that we would end up 2024 at around the 75.000$ mark (very bearish). So here are the average yearly returns since:

Since 2010 to end of 2024 is 211% annually.

Since 2011 to end of 2024 is 143% annually.

Since 2012 to end of 2024 is 110% annually.

Since 2013 to end of 2024 is 105% annually.

Since 2014 to end of 2024 is 52% annually.

Since 2015 to end of 2024 is 72,5% annually.

Since 2016 to end of 2024 is 77% annually.

Since 2017 to end of 2024 is 72% annually.

Since 2018 to end of 2024 is 27% annually.

Since 2019 to end of 2024 is 65% annually.

Since 2020 to end of 2024 is 59% annually.

Since 2021 to end of 2024 is 26% annually.

Since 2022 to end of 2024 is 15% annually.

Since 2023 to end of 2024 is 110% annually.

These numbers are absolutely crazy. However, it’s also true that we are only talking about a 15 year span and the data might be considered insufficient for some.

I would like to add some additional calculations:

If we for example kept on getting the lowest annual return ever recorded (15% since 2022):

• In 5 years (end of 2029) we would be at roughly 150.000$ per coin

• In 10 years (end of 2034) we would be at roughly 303.000$ per coin

I would consider this to probably be the lowest expectations we could have right now (very bearish).

If we for example kept on getting the highest annual return ever recorded (211% since 2010):

• In 5 years (end of 2029) we would be at roughly 21.820.000$ per coin

• In 10 years (end of 2034) we would be at roughly 6.348.000.000$ per coin

Well, I honestly don’t think this one is happening however, that would be absolutely ridiculous.

If we take a look at the last 10 years however (since 2014) and make some calculations we get to a fair annualized return of 57,5%. In this case, and I think this would be a very possible case we would have:

• In 5 years (end of 2029) we would be at roughly 727.000$ per coin

• In 10 years (end of 2034) we would be at roughly 7.045.000$ per coin

These values would be pretty reasonable but still very very bullish in my understanding.

In my personal opinion, and after lots and lots of calculations and data analysis I won’t get into much detail for now because it would make the post much much more complex for those of you to understand and even to edit, I got to two annualized return values that I would like to call the bullish annualized return and the bearish annualized return.

Now, the bullish annualized return would have a value of roughly 29% stable annualized return for years and years to come. Using this value we would get the following results:

• In 5 years (end of 2029) we would be at roughly 268.000$ per coin

• In 10 years (end of 2034) we would be at roughly 957.000$ per coin

In my personal opinion and after every research I went through I think these values are pretty much the expected ones by most people, hence ending up supporting my calculations and analysis.

Not forgetting the bearish annualized return, let’s get to it to wrap this up. The bearish annualized return for years and years to come that I ended up on is 19% stable annualized return. Once again let’s make the calculations:

• In 5 years (end of 2029) we would be at roughly 179.000$ per coin

• In 10 years (end of 2034) we would be at roughly 427.000$ per coin

Well, I guess this is the end of my post. If you read all the way down here I would like to thank you. Once again, I might be correct, I might not, however I will stand by my calculations and support my strong beliefs.

Keep stacking, keep HODLing. Stay safe everyone.