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If you're wondering whether crypto index ETFs would be a good idea (during a bear market), take a look at this simulation. The results are not what you expect.

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by COINS NEWS 111 Views

If you're wondering whether crypto index ETFs would be a good idea (during a bear market), take a look at this simulation. The results are not what you expect.

At the beginning of January I've decided to conduct an experiment. I simulated purchase of coins from the range:

1) Top 100

2) Top 101-200

3) Top 900-1000

Except of stables, I put 100 USD into every coin from a given range. I wanted to simulate how index ETFs would perform. The results are.....interesting.

One word about methodology - I simulated only purchase of coins that were listed on at least 1 exchange to avoid liquidity issues.

TOP 100

TOP 100 results

As you can see my TOP 100 ETF is -71% at the moment of this post. But heeeeey - I have best performer with profit. Wait for it....

TOP 100 best performers

I have only 1 coin with profit. Let's check the worst performers from my TOP 100:

TOP 100 worst performers

No surprise, Luna - 100%, but other projects that were shining are f*****d as well.

TOP 101-200

TOP 101-200 results

This portfolio is - 76% without any coin in profit since JAN.

Worst performers

Amongst worst performers are coins that were mentioned as those with potential (e.g. Raydium). Probably this one is result of Solana outages (joke).

Now, most interesting part.

TOP 901 - 1000

Top 901-1000 index results

Heeey - this portfolio is - 66%. So it outperformed previous ones (who said sth about blue chips?)

top performers

I have even coin that is + 51%. Now it is in top 500!

TLDR - Index created from the coins on the bottom (for now) outperforms indexes based on top 200 coins. Will update at the end of the year.

submitted by /u/Plane-Tour-5699
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